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Posts published in May 2023

Fiscal Investor Morning Brief (May 26th, 2023)

Inflation and Debt Ceiling News awaits

The Stock Market Awaits Updates on Inflation and the Debt Ceiling as Earnings Season Wraps Up!

This morning, the market seems to be more bearish than bullish. Yesterday, we witnessed an impressive example of the market’s affinity for certainty when Nvidia (NVDA) experienced a staggering increase of $74 per share, totaling over $200 billion in just one day! It was truly a remarkable day for the company. This surge in stock price was a result of an astonishing 50% upward guidance on earnings, leading to corresponding positive reactions in most tech stocks, including American Microdevices (AMD). Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks, in particular, displayed favorable performance, making AI a standout during this earnings season.

Today, we eagerly anticipate the release of several inflation data points and updates on the debt ceiling. The inflation data will encompass indicators such as Personal Consumer Expenditures (PCI), personal income, durable goods, and consumer spending/sentiment. These insights will provide us with a better understanding of the Federal Reserve’s potential future actions. While certainty may still be a few weeks away, each new piece of data is likely to contribute to increased market volatility.

Furthermore, Speaker of the House McCarthy has announced that efforts are underway to reach a compromise. However, it is still early, and there are reports of pressures against compromising. According to insider information from Washington, there is a possibility of a 2-year deal being on the table. As we approach the June 1st deadline, the weekend and following week will be intriguing to observe. Volatility will be the prevailing theme, and the stock market will undoubtedly react to any news indicating a specific direction.

In this dynamic environment, long-term investing remains paramount. The key to success lies in education, discipline, and thorough research. Remember to exercise patience, as this current situation will eventually pass.

Stay tuned for more updates over the weekend, especially as we approach the 3-day Memorial Day weekend! The market may exhibit nervousness regarding holding onto stocks during this extended break. Brace yourself for potential fluctuations and market movements.

More Stock Market Volatility in our Future!