Today, the stock market eagerly awaits the crucial Fed Rate decision. There’s an anticipation that the Fed might increase rates by 0.25%, but what truly matters are the comments indicating their future stance. Will they remain hawkish or adopt a more cautious approach to rate hikes?
Fortunately, the economy shows promising signs. Inflation is beginning to ease, and consumer confidence remains high. The impressive earnings reports are adding to the positive outlook. With each market cycle, the risk of recession is gradually diminishing. The impact of COVID-related inflation is subsiding, but the economy will continue to be influenced by the sustained high interest rates.
As a Fiscal Investor, there’s recognition of the remarkable performance of the market in the first part of the year. However, historical data suggests that significantly outperforming the market’s average is challenging. While staying invested is a prudent move, it’s essential to be aware that the market might experience a slowdown.
At present, the market is buoyed by the strong economy and the abating inflation. The advice is to stay invested and observe the market broadening out. The tech sector, in particular, has been enjoying a remarkable year. Companies like Google (GOOGL) and Boeing (BA) are showing substantial premarket gains due to better-than-expected earnings. It’s worth noting that the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is trading at higher levels, and there are two potential scenarios to bring it back to the average: either the market takes a pause, or earnings continue to expand. The latter seems more likely.
Over the next week, we will be monitoring European markets from London. As we prepare for the impact of the Fed’s statement, it’s essential to be mindful of the market’s response. The suspense is palpable, but with a well-informed approach, we can navigate the potential outcomes effectively. Let’s brace ourselves for an eventful day in the market!